Performance and Resilience of Collaboration Networks
This project is related to our research lines: R&D networks and Design and analysis of socio-technical systems.
Duration 12 months (March 2015 - February 2016)
Funding source ETH Zurich Foundation, through ETH Risk Center
The goal of this project is to understand systemic risk in collaboration networks. We want to predict how the failure of one or a few agents – or links – can hamper the performance of the network. Consequently, we intend to define a quantitative risk measure (resilience), that can be validated and tested on a set of real collaboration networks.
We argue that there exist two types of collaboration networks: one in which agents have aligned utilities, such as Open Source Software (OSS) communities, where developers contribute to the same common goal; and one in which agents have misaligned utilities, such as inter-firm R&D networks or co-autorship networks, where firms or scientists collaborate in a competitive environment to increase their individual pay-off, without being directly concerned for a collective benefit.
In this project, we want to provide a quantitative definition of network performance for both cases. A logical consequence of this definition will be the quantification of how such performance changes when one or few agents – or links – are removed or suffer a shock, either at the aggregate or at the individual level, depending on the nature of the collaboration network under examination.
Figure: emergence and decline of a giant connected component in the computer software R&D network (adapted from Tomasello et al., 2013, "The Rise and Fall of R&D Networks")
In addition, we want to define a new temporal risk measure for collaboration networks, that is not uniquely topology-based and that is able to correctly quantify the change in aggregate or individual performance, when one of the agents (or links) suffers a shock or is forcedly removed from the collaboration network. Following the definition of such a measure, we want to investigate whether real collaboration networks are resilient and, in case they are not, whether it is possible to overcome these sub-optimalities and design risk-optimized collaboration networks. The research questions of interest can be summarized as follows:
- Can we define an appropriate temporal risk measure (resilience) for collaboration networks, based on their performance?
- Are real collaboration networks resilient? If not, are we able to design policy measures facilitating more resilient collaboration networks?
Selected publications
A model of dynamic rewiring and knowledge exchange in R&D networks
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[2016]
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Tomasello, Mario Vincenzo;
Tessone, Claudio Juan;
Schweitzer, Frank
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Advances in Complex Systems,
volume: 19,
number: 1 - 2
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Abstract
This paper investigates the process of knowledge exchange in inter-firm Research and Development (R&D) alliances by means of an agent-based model. Extant research has pointed out that firms select alliance partners considering both network-related and network-unrelated features (e.g., social capital versus complementary knowledge stocks). In our agent-based model, firms are located in a metric knowledge space. The interaction rules incorporate an exploration phase and a knowledge transfer phase, during which firms search for a new partner and then evaluate whether they can establish an alliance to exchange their knowledge stocks. The model parameters determining the overall system properties are the rate at which alliances form and dissolve and the agents' interaction radius. Next, we define a novel indicator of performance, based on the distance traveled by the firms in the knowledge space. Remarkably, we find that - depending on the alliance formation rate and the interaction radius - firms tend to cluster around one or more attractors in the knowledge space, whose position is an emergent property of the system. And, more importantly, we find that there exists an inverted U-shaped dependence of the network performance on both model parameters.
Quantifying knowledge exchange in R&D networks: A data-driven model
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[2018]
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Vaccario, Giacomo;
Tomasello, Mario Vincenzo;
Tessone, Claudio Juan;
Schweitzer, Frank
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Journal of Evolutionary Economics,
pages: 461-493,
volume: 28,
number: 3
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Abstract
We propose a model that reflects two important processes in R&D activities of firms, the formation of R&D alliances and the exchange of knowledge as a result of these collaborations. In a data-driven approach, we analyze two large-scale data sets extracting unique information about 7500 R&D alliances and 5200 patent portfolios of firms. This data is used to calibrate the model parameters for network formation and knowledge exchange. We obtain probabilities for incumbent and newcomer firms to link to other incumbents or newcomers which are able to reproduce the topology of the empirical R&D network. The position of firms in a knowledge space is obtained from their patents using two different classification schemes, IPC in 8 dimensions and ISI-OST-INPI in 35 dimensions. Our dynamics of knowledge exchange assumes that collaborating firms approach each other in knowledge space at a rate $μ$ for an alliance duration $τ$. Both parameters are obtained in two different ways, by comparing knowledge distances from simulations and empirics and by analyzing the collaboration efficiency $\hat{C}_n$. This is a new measure, that takes also in account the effort of firms to maintain concurrent alliances, and is evaluated via extensive computer simulations. We find that R&D alliances have a duration of around two years and that the subsequent knowledge exchange occurs at a very low rate. Hence, a firm's position in the knowledge space is rather a determinant than a consequence of its R&D alliances. From our data-driven approach we also find model configurations that can be both realistic and optimized with respect to the collaboration efficiency $\hat{C}_n$. Effective policies, as suggested by our model, would incentivize shorter R&D alliances and higher knowledge exchange rates.
The effect of R&D collaborations on firms' technological positions
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[2015]
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Tomasello, Mario Vincenzo;
Tessone, Claudio Juan;
Schweitzer, Frank
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In Proceedings of the 10th International Forum IFKAD 2015
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Abstract
We develop an agent-based model to reproduce the processes of link formation and knowledge exchange in a Research and Development (R&D) inter-organizational network. In our model, agents form links based on their network features, i.e. their belonging to one of the network's circles of influence and their previous alliance history, and then exchange knowledge with their partners, thus modifying their positions in a metric knowledge space. Furthermore, we validate the model against real data using a two-step approach. Through the Thomson Reuters SDC alliance dataset, we estimate the model parameters related to the link formation, thus reproducing the topology of the resulting R&D network. Subsequently, using the NBER data on firm patents, we estimate the parameters related to the knowledge exchange process, thus evaluating the rate at which firms exchange knowledge and the duration of the R&D alliances themselves. The underlying knowledge space that we consider in our real example is defined by IPC patent classes, allowing for a precise quantification of every firm's knowledge position. Our novel data-driven approach allows us to unveil the complex interdependencies between the firms' network embeddedness and their technological positions. Through the validation of our model, we find that real R&D alliances have a duration of around two years, and that the subsequent knowledge exchange occurs at a very low rate. Most of the alliances, indeed, have no consequence on the partners' knowledge positions: this suggests that a firm's position - evaluated through its patents - is rather a determinant than a consequence of its R&D alliances. Finally, we propose an indicator of collaboration performance for the whole network. We find that the real R&D network does not maximize such an indicator. Our study shows that there exist configurations that can be both realistic and optimized with respect to the collaboration performance. Effective policies to obtain an optimized collaboration network - as suggested by our model - would incentivize shorter R&D alliances and higher knowledge exchange rates, for instance including rewards for quick co-patenting by allied firms.
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